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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gtcrust</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Геодинамика и тектонофизика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Geodynamics &amp; Tectonophysics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2078-502X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Institute of the Earth's crust of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5800/GT-2019-10-3-0439</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gtcrust-899</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>СОВРЕМЕННАЯ ГЕОДИНАМИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RECENT GEODYNAMICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>О ГЕНЕЗИСЕ БАЧАТСКОГО ЗЕМЛЕТРЯСЕНИЯ 2013 ГОДА</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>ON THE GENESIS OF THE 2013 BACHAT EARTHQUAKE</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8343-5127</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кочарян</surname><given-names>Г. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kocharyan</surname><given-names>G. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Кочарян Геворг Грантович - доктор физико-математических наук, заведующий лабораторией, заместитель директора.</p><p>119334, Москва, Ленинский проспект, 38, корп. 1.</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Gevorg G. Kocharyan - Doctor of Physics and Mathematics, Head of Laboratory, Deputy Director.</p><p>38 Leninsky prospect, Building 1, Moscow 119334.</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">gevorgkidg@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4714-9761</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кишкина</surname><given-names>С. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kishkina</surname><given-names>S. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Кишкина Светлана Борисовна - кандидат физико-математических наук.</p><p>119334, Москва, Ленинский проспект, 38, корп. 1.</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Svetlana B. Kishkina - Candidate of Physics and Mathematics.</p><p>38 Leninsky prospect, Building 1, Moscow 119334.</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">SvetlanK@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3126-002X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Будков</surname><given-names>А. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Budkov</surname><given-names>A. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Будков Александр Михайлович - доктор технических наук.</p><p>119334, Москва, Ленинский проспект, 38, корп. 1.</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Aleksander M. Budkov - Doctor of Technical Sciences.</p><p>38 Leninsky prospect, Building 1, Moscow 119334.</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4967-6418</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Иванченко</surname><given-names>Г. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ivanchenko</surname><given-names>G. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Иванченко Галина Николаевна - кандидат физико-математических наук.</p><p>119334, Москва, Ленинский проспект, 38, корп. 1.</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Galina N. Ivanchenko - Candidate of Physics and Mathematics.</p><p>38 Leninsky prospect, Building 1, Moscow 119334.</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ivanchenko@idg.chph.ras.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт динамики геосфер РАН</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Institute of Geosphere Dynamics of RAS</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2019</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>15</day><month>09</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>10</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>741</fpage><lpage>759</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Кочарян Г.Г., Кишкина С.Б., Будков А.М., Иванченко Г.Н., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Кочарян Г.Г., Кишкина С.Б., Будков А.М., Иванченко Г.Н.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kocharyan G.G., Kishkina S.B., Budkov A.M., Ivanchenko G.N.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/899">https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/899</self-uri><abstract><p>Землетрясение с магнитудой ML=6.1, произошедшее в Кузбассе 18.06.2013 г., – самое крупное сейсмическое событие, связанное с горными работами. Мнения о его генезисе расходятся. С одной стороны, расположение гипоцентра и большинства афтершоков непосредственно под карьером наводит на мысль о техногенной природе события. С другой стороны, очаг располагался на глубине нескольких километров, что, по мнению ряда авторов, свидетельствует против этого предположения из-за незначительной величины техногенного изменения параметров поля напряжений по сравнению с литостатическим давлением и, тем более, с прочностью породы [Lovchikov, 2016; и др.] В настоящей работе предпринята попытка разобраться, в какой мере горные работы в приповерхностных областях коры способны стать причиной крупного землетрясения и какие именно процессы могут оказаться наиболее вероятным триггером динамической подвижки в очаге Бачатского землетрясения. Вероятные геометрические параметры плоскости разрыва получены в ходе анализа структурно-тектонической обстановки региона и опубликованных сведений о местоположении афтершоков [Emanovetal., 2017]. Показано, что инициирование событий такого размера общим уровнем антропогенной нагрузки на регион или непосредственным воздействием сейсмических колебаний от массовых взрывов маловероятно. В результате использования аналитического и численного моделирования, а также анализа данных сейсмологических наблюдений удалось продемонстрировать, что наиболее вероятным фактором инициирования динамической подвижки в очаге является извлечение и перемещение горной породы из карьера такого масштаба, как Бачатский. Следует отметить, что размер зоны, в которой выполняются геомеханические критерии инициирования, существенно больше критического размера зоны нуклеации для землетрясений с магнитудой M~6. При этом открытые горные работы едва ли влияют на локализацию очагов крупных землетрясений: они способны только приблизить момент события, уже подготовленного естественной эволюцией коры.</p><p> </p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The ML 6.1earthquake that occurred on June 18, 2013 in Kuzbass is the strongest seismic event related to mining operations in this region. Opinions about its genesis differ. On the one hand, its hypocenter and most aftershocks occurred directly underneath the Bachat open-pit mine, which suggests that this seismic event was due to anthropogenic impacts. On the other hand, the earthquake focus was located at a depth of several kilometers, which, according to some authors, argues against the anthropogenic factor– the technogenic change in the parameters of the stress field was insignificant againstthe lithostatic pressure and, especially, the rock strength (e.g. [Lovchikov, 2016]).Our study aims to discover and assess an impact ofthe mining operations in the near-surface areas of the crust, investigate whether the Bachat earthquake was caused by the mining operations, and clarify which processes in particularwere the most probable triggers of dynamic movement in the Bachat earthquake source. The probable geometrical parameters of the fault plane were estimated from the structural and tectonic conditions of the study area and the published locations of the aftershocks [Emanov et al., 2017]. It is established that seimic events of magnitudes similar to that of the Bachat earthquake cannot be caused by the overall anthropogenic load on the area, and it is unlikely that such a strong earthquake may occur due to the direct effects of seismic vibrations resulting from mass explosions during the mining operations. Our analytical models and numerical simulations, as well as the analysis of seismological observation data show that the most probable factor that initiated dynamic movements in the earthquake source wasthe extraction of the huge rock volume and its transportation from theBachat open-pit mine. It should be noted that the size of the zone, wherein the geomechanical initiation criteria are met, is considerably larger than the critical size of a nucleation zone for a M 6 earthquake. However, open-pit mining operations can hardly affect the localization of strong earthquakesources. Mining operations can only trigger a seismic event that has been already prepared by the natural evolution of the crust.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>техногенное землетрясение</kwd><kwd>индуцированная сейсмичность</kwd><kwd>открытые горные работы</kwd><kwd>массовые взрывы</kwd><kwd>зона нуклеации землетрясения</kwd><kwd>разломная зона</kwd><kwd>кулоновское напряжение</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>technogenic earthquake</kwd><kwd>induced seismicity</kwd><kwd>open-pit mining</kwd><kwd>mass explosions</kwd><kwd>earthquake nucleation zone</kwd><kwd>fault zone</kwd><kwd>Coulomb stress</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Adushkin V.V., 2016. Tectonic earthquakes of anthropogenic origin. 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