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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gtcrust</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Геодинамика и тектонофизика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Geodynamics &amp; Tectonophysics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2078-502X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Institute of the Earth's crust of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5800/GT-2017-8-4-0328</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gtcrust-482</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ТЕКТОНОФИЗИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>TECTONOPHYSICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ДИАГНОСТИКА МЕТАНЕСТАБИЛЬНОГО СОСТОЯНИЯ СЕЙСМОАКТИВНОГО РАЗЛОМА</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>DIAGNOSTICS OF META-INSTABLE STATE OF SEISMICALLY ACTIVE FAULT</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Борняков</surname><given-names>С. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Bornyakov</surname><given-names>S. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Борняков Сергей Александрович, канд. геол.-мин. наук, с.н.с.664033, Иркутск, ул. Лермонтова, 128</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Bornyakov, Sergei A., Candidate of Geology and Mineralogy, Senior Researcher128 Lermontov street, Irkutsk 664033; 3 Lenin street, Irkutsk 664003, Russia</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">bornyak@crust.irk.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ma</surname><given-names>Цзинь</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ма</surname><given-names>Jin</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Ма Цзинь, академик Китайской академии наукГосударственная центральная лаборатория динамики землетрясений</p><p>No. 1, Hua Yan Li, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100029</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Ma, Jin, Academician of Chinese Academy of SciencesState Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics</p><p>No. 1, Hua Yan Li, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100029, China</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">dzjmajin@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мирошниченко</surname><given-names>А. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Miroshnichenko</surname><given-names>A. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Мирошниченко Андрей Иванович, канд. геол.-мин. наук, с.н.с.664033, Иркутск, ул. Лермонтова, 128</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Miroshnichenko, Andrei I., Candidate of Geology and Mineralogy, Senior Researcher128 Lermontov street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">mai@crust.irk.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Гуо</surname><given-names>Юаншуан</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Guo</surname><given-names>Yanshuang</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Гуо Юаншуан, доктор наукГосударственная центральная лаборатория динамики землетрясений, </p><p>No. 1, Hua Yan Li, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100029, China</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Guo, Yanshuang, Doctor of ScienceState Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics, I</p><p> No. 1, Hua Yan Li, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100029, China</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">guoyshig@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Салко</surname><given-names>Д. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Salko</surname><given-names>D. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Салко Денис Владимирович, ведущий инженер664033, Иркутск, ул. Лермонтова, 128</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Salko, Denis V., Lead Engineer</p><p>128 Lermontov street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">denis@salko.net</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Зуев</surname><given-names>Ф. Л.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zuev</surname><given-names>F. L.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Зуев Фёдор Леонидович, ведущий инженер </p><p>664033, Иркутск, ул. Лермонтова, 128</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Zuev, Fyodor L., Lead Engineer </p><p>128 Lermontov street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">zuev@crust.irk.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт земной коры СО РАН; &#13;
Иркутский государственный университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Institute of the Earth's Crust, Siberian Branch of RAS; &#13;
Irkutsk State University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт геологии, Администрация по землетрясениям Китая</institution><country>Китай</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration</institution><country>China</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт земной коры СО РАН</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Institute of the Earth's Crust, Siberian Branch of RAS</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2017</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>19</day><month>12</month><year>2017</year></pub-date><volume>8</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>989</fpage><lpage>998</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Борняков С.А., Ma Ц., Мирошниченко А.И., Гуо Ю., Салко Д.В., Зуев Ф.Л., 2017</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2017</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Борняков С.А., Ma Ц., Мирошниченко А.И., Гуо Ю., Салко Д.В., Зуев Ф.Л.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Bornyakov S.A., Ма J., Miroshnichenko A.I., Guo Y., Salko D.V., Zuev F.L.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/482">https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/482</self-uri><abstract><p>На основе результатов лабораторного моделирования процесса сейсмической активизации разлома по механизму «stick-slip» [Ma et al., 2012] показано, что нагруженная система из двух блоков непосредственно перед реализацией импульсной подвижки проходит через метанестабильное динамическое состояние, со стадиями ранней и поздней метанестабильности. В первую стадию процесс смещения одного блока относительно другого начинается в квазикриповом стационарном режиме с медленной релаксацией накопленных на межблоковом контакте напряжений. Во вторую стадию «ускоренного синергизма» скорость смещения существенно возрастает и впоследствии через процесс самоорганизации и лавинообразного объединения многочисленных активизированных сегментов межблокового контакта переходит в динамическую импульсную подвижку. С учетом этих экспериментальных выводов анализируются результаты спектрального анализа данных деформационного мониторинга, проведенного в пределах южной оконечности оз. Байкал, где 27.08.2008 г. произошло Култукское землетрясение (Ms=6.1). Его эпицентр располагался в южном окончании зоны Главного Саянского разлома. Мониторинг деформаций горных пород проводился с апреля по ноябрь2008 г. в штольне, расположенной в30 км от эпицентра землетрясения. Временной ряд данных был разделен на тридцатидневные интервалы, которые обрабатывались методом спектрального анализа. Результаты расчетов показали, что перед землетрясением спектрограмма имеет упорядоченный вид, тогда как в другие временные интервалы, как до, так и после землетрясения такая упорядоченность в спектрограммах отсутствует. Такой упорядоченный вид спектрограммы для данных деформационного мониторинга может интерпретироваться как следствие самоорганизации деформационного процесса при переходе сейсмоактивного разлома в метанестабильное состояние перед Култукским землетрясением.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Based on the results of a laboratory simulation of the seismic fault reactivation by “stick-slip” process, it was shown that the system of two blocks just before an impulse offset goes through the meta-instable dynamic state, with early and late stages of meta-instability [Ma et al., 2012]. In the first stage the offset begins in slow stationary mode with slow stresses relaxation on contact between blocks. In the second stage of the “accelerated synergies” strain rate increases and, subsequently, the deformation process through a process of self-organization came to dynamic impulse offset. The experimental results were used for interpretation of the results of spectral analysis of the deformation monitoring data. The data were held within the southern part ofLakeBaikal, where Kultuk earthquake (27.08.2008, Ms=6.1). took place. Its epicenter was located in the South end zone of the main Sayan fault. Monitoring of deformations of rocks was carried out from April to November2008 in tunnel, located at30 km from the epicenter of the earthquake. The time series data was divided into month periods and then the periods were processed by the method of spectral analysis. The results showed that before the earthquake has ordered view spectrogram, whereas in other time intervals, both before and after the earthquake such orderliness in spectrograms is missing. An ordered view spectrograms for deformation monitoring data can be interpreted as a consequence of the self-organiza­tion of deformation process in the transition of seismically active fault into meta-unstable before the Kultuk earthquake.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>сейсмоактивный разлом</kwd><kwd>метанестабильное состояние</kwd><kwd>землетрясение</kwd><kwd>деформационный мониторинг</kwd><kwd>спектральный анализ</kwd><kwd>синергизм</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>words: seismically active fault</kwd><kwd>meta-instability</kwd><kwd>earthquake</kwd><kwd>strain monitoring</kwd><kwd>spectral analysis</kwd><kwd>synergism</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bak P., Tang C., 1989. Earthquakes as a self-organized critical phenomenon. 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