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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">gtcrust</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Геодинамика и тектонофизика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Geodynamics &amp; Tectonophysics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2078-502X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Institute of the Earth's crust of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5800/GT-2014-5-3-0154</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">gtcrust-13</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ТЕКТОНОФИЗИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>TECTONOPHYSICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>АНАЛИЗ СЕЙСМИЧНОСТИ В РАЙОНЕ ВОДОХРАНИЛИЩА ЗИПИНГПУ ПЕРЕД ВЕНЧУАНЬСКИМ ЗЕМЛЕТРЯСЕНИЕМ (MS 8.0)</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>INSIGHTS GAINED FROM THE SEISMICITY AROUND THE ZIPINGPU RESERVOIR BEFORE THE WENCHUAN MS8.0 EARTHQUAKE</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Юанженг</surname><given-names>Ли</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Yuanzheng</surname><given-names>Liu</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Doctor of sciences</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">lyzexpedition@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Дзинь</surname><given-names>Ма</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Jin</surname><given-names>Ma</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>академик Китайской академии наук, геолог, тектонофизик</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Academician of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Geologist and Tectonophysicist</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">majin@ies.ac.cn</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Тонг</surname><given-names>Джиань</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tong</surname><given-names>Jiang</given-names></name></name-alternatives><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Государственная лаборатория динамики землетрясений, Институт геологии, Администрация  по землетрясениям Китая, Пекин, Китай&#13;
Факультет природных ресурсов и окружающей среды, Северо-китайский университет  водных ресурсов и электроэнергии, Пекин, Китай</institution><country>Китай</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>State Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics, Institute of Geology,  &#13;
China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China &#13;
School of Resources and Environment, North China University  &#13;
of Water Resources and Electric Power, Beijing, China</institution><country>China</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Государственная лаборатория динамики землетрясений, Институт геологии, Администрация  по землетрясениям Китая, Пекин, Китай</institution><country>Китай</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>State Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics, Institute of Geology,  &#13;
China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China</institution><country>China</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Факультет природных ресурсов и окружающей среды, Северо-китайский университет  водных ресурсов и электроэнергии, Пекин, Китай</institution><country>Китай</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>School of Resources and Environment, North China University  &#13;
of Water Resources and Electric Power, Beijing, China</institution><country>China</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2014</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>04</day><month>09</month><year>2015</year></pub-date><volume>5</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>777</fpage><lpage>784</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Юанженг Л., Дзинь М., Тонг Д., 2015</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2015</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Юанженг Л., Дзинь М., Тонг Д.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Yuanzheng L., Jin M., Tong J.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/13">https://www.gt-crust.ru/jour/article/view/13</self-uri><abstract><p>Венчуаньское землетрясение (MS 8.0) произошло в 2008 г. в разломной зоне Лонгменшан, расположенной на восточной окраине Тибетского плато. Его эпицентр находился рядом с роем землетрясений Шуимогу, возникновение которых связывают с влиянием водохранилища Зипингпу после его заполнения в 2004 г. Считалось, что главной причиной сильного землетрясения было заполнение водохранилища водой. Для выяснения роли водохранилища Зипингпу в инициировании Венчуаньского землетрясения был проведен детальный анализ данных, накопленных местной сетью сейсмических наблюдений в районе Зипингпу в период с 31 июля 2004 г. по 11 мая 2008 г. Судя по распределению гипоцентров, большинство землетрясений произошли на разломе Инксю-Бейчуан в районе водохранилища, при этом глубина гипоцентров не превышала 10 км, и это основной разлом, инициировавший Венчуаньское землетрясение. Кроме того, были получены полезные данные по глубинной геометрии разлома. По пространственно-временному распределению гипоцентров установлен характер миграции с рассеиванием порового давления, а также определен коэффициент гидравлической диффузии (D=0.7 м2/с). По результатам предыдущих экспериментов установлено наличие синергетического процесса на изучаемом разломе в метастабильном состоянии перед смещением по разлому, что привело к усилению напряжений на прочном участке разлома и синергии при уменьшении прочности ослабленных участков, а также увеличении общей протяженности ослабленных участков разлома. По нашему мнению, рассеивание порового давления при заполнении водой водохранилища Зипингпу привело к увеличению общей длины ослабленных участков разлома и увеличению напряжений в очаговой зоне.</p><sec><title> </title><p> </p></sec><sec><title> </title><p> </p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"/><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Венчуаньское землетрясение</kwd><kwd>водохранилище Зипингпу</kwd><kwd>коэффициент гидравлической диффузии</kwd><kwd>метастабильное состояние</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Wenchuan earthquake</kwd><kwd>Zipingpu reservoir</kwd><kwd>diffusivity</kwd><kwd>meta-instability state</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Biot M.A., 1941. General Theory of Three-Dimensional Consolidation. 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